Monday, January 7, 2008

Then, Now, and Tomorrow

Good to be back! - I spent the last few weeks in Florida with family, just veg-ing out. I couldn't believe that I had to suffer through a near freeze way down in Ft Myers!! Had to buy some jeans to keep warm!

I spent all my quiet time contemplating the market and licking my wounds. WOW! These past two months have been anything but fun! I was lucky to take just a little hit in my conservative, ROTH account, but my luck in my trading accounts was not good. I wasn't able to blog, but that proved to be a good thing!

I heard a talking head on CNBC say that a down opening of the markets this quarter "should indicate a rise in markets through the rest of 2008". I hope so. I warned anyone who would listen that the housing market would pull us way, way down. It has, and it will. I am afraid there will be much more bad news, though. My gut feeling is that the foreigh bastards in the MidEast, Asia and Russia will do their dead level best to put us under, finanically. Less bloodshed that way and they could really have a negative impact on our (corrupt, arrogant) political system. Back as far as the '70s I remember reading and hearing that we could become victems of a global, economic "war".

As investors and traders, it is time to be realists and play our cards very close to the chest! There is still money to be made in the markets, but buy and hold strategies have to be rethought. We are in a recession. Those of us who had good profits racked up have been bailing out, pulling solid stocks down. The good news is that strategy is pulling P/E ratios down, and pushing dividend yields UP!

Rethinking investment strategies should be priority 1 if you haven't done so by now. I like what Navellier says. Rethink your portfolios and get the majority of your money to work in conservative stocks that pay high yield dividends. Then, watch them like a hawk!

Thursday, November 29, 2007

Monster Rocket

BIDZ was the only stock that came up a possible Rocket for today. It's been hit for over a 50% correction. I mentioned in my last blog that it still looked shakey, but I'd like to see how it finished.

Today the stock is up ~10% so far. Others thought the stock had been oversold, too, and it looks like the Carp are heading back in to feed.

If the rally continues, I'm looking for BIDZ to make it to from $12.10 - $12.47. But.....I'm not some analyst who sits in the dark with a financial cal-tic-u-lator. I'm just guessing where this rocket might begin to sputter today. Do your own due diligence before investing in any stock.
A. Male

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Lack of "Rocket Stocks"

There was no Rocket stock for Tuesday, and Wednesday's 'fetch' was BIDZ. That stock has been scary, so I didn't mention it yesterday. At this point I am happy I didn't, because it dropped another 20% so far today.

It looks like there is some overkill selling there, so you might want to keep an eye on BIDZ if the market stays up this week, which I doubt. I'll have to see how the market closes out this session and how tomorrow morning's pre-market looks. I'll bet it's on the 'fetch' list for tomorrow, too.

A stock I mentioned before is ABB. I like it, IBD loves it. ABB recently retraced about $5 to around the $27 - $28 area. If it doesn't lose more ground it's worth a look. Unfortunately, I am not in this stock now. I was, but my LT investment $$$$ is tied up at the moment.

I've been watching this, and hearing good forecasts about, EWZ, the Brazilian Index ETF. It's bouncing back from a correction, but it appears some big investment $$$ is buying in.

China may be one area to start taking profits. Personally, though I own one ETF, I am very leery of those Commie suckers. Wouldn't it be a bummer if they use all our investment money to clobber us financially, then via all out war. Funny, (NOT), but I remember discussions in college and on the street back in the 70's that China was the real "Anti-Christ" that the U.S. should fear...and be prepared to fight. That's 30 + years ago!

Oops, I segue'd into politics. Sorry, that's for another blog.
A. Male

Friday, November 23, 2007

Roller Coaster Market

Ouch!
As is usual, I waited a tad too long to bail on a few of my holdings.

I've read so often that even the pro's have difficulty 'pulling the trigger'. I did, and got burned a little, early on into this correction. It really doesn't matter how "quality" the stocks are, during a major correction they are going to get pummeled. Once I started hitting my sell triggers, I actually felt better since the mystery of where the market was going was over.

Doing a little scalping has helped, since the money is in my pocket, so to speak, within minutes or hours. As a trader, I'm drawn to making money...holding stocks doesn't appear to be a good idea as long as the talking heads are whipping their backs with 'cat-o-nine-tails' and forecasting gloom and doom.

On the bright side, those of us who managed to go flat at this time are looking at some pretty decent prices on some good looking stocks. Isn't it amazing how "perceived value" changes so quickly?!

Keep up the research...now more than ever! There are many great stocks poised to recover when confidence comes back into the market. We need a catalyst....Hey, why not attack Iran? That ought to be good for at least 1,500 points to the Dow!! C'mon "W", go get'em!

A.M.
Hey y'all:

Both the StockMonster and Slotmonkey appear to be hibernating at the moment, so I thought I'd pass on what 'Fetcher came up with for Monday's Rockets:

SPRD - $10.74
JRJC - $21.98
CTDC - $4.87

There is interesting research material via Yahoo Finance if you want to examine these. Go to Yahoo Finance, upper left part of their screen has a "Quote" box. type in the symbol and you get a short summary. There is reference material below the summary, as well as along the left side.

As usual, no recommendation is being given - just a guy looking at stocks (sometimes through rose colored specs. ;-) )
Happy hunting!

Monday, November 12, 2007

Bull Riding

Oh, Nelly! If you've ever ridden a bull, even the mechanical kind, you've experienced physically what's happening to the market right now. Being bucked like crazy isn't fun, especially when you hear all that $$$$ being flipped out of your pockets.

I stayed invested, believing that yet another jump would take place. Oops! My stocks have very good fundamentals, but they are taking a real beating anyway. Back in Texas, we call this "a real whupping".

I've read recently that growth stocks do better at this time in a bull market. Now is certainly time to cherry pick stocks for short term trades - day or swing (scalp?!).
Over the weekend I concentrated my research on the technical side, with stocks trading below $15 as my focus.

I chose 2 stocks and had a 50% success rate today. My winner was GTOP - In at $4.07 and out at 4.25 as the market faded. My other pick was MMPI - I thought it was ramping up the past few days, but it dropped at the open and hasn't recovered. Lucky me - I didn't buy MMPI as it never looked bullish!
A.M.

Monday, October 22, 2007

Recovery?

I, like most optimists, spent the weekend licking my wounds and reviewing my charts. I expected the jump today, but didn't expect it to take so long...tells me the bears are still attempting to keep control of the markets.

I tend to watch my stocks pretty closely, so, given that habit, I was shocked to find I should have bailed out of three stocks early last week! What happened? First, I'm 'max'd out', fully invested. Second, I was lulled into being too smug after the prior week's results. Third, I got lazy with my stops (That should be FIRST). Getting lazy with stops will make a person POOR....quickly!

Lastly, I came down with some kind of gunk, blood related I think. Whatever it is, it knocked me on my toush, making me overwhelmingly tired. Can't be on your best trading behavior while feeling like poop! That takes me back to item three, er, one. DON'T GET LAZY WITH STOPS!

Alpha